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Sports·ورزش·1569h ago·5 Jul 2026·2 sources · 1 tiers
Statistical study on penalty kicks in football

Story summary
A new study shows that in penalty shootouts, the team that goes first does not necessarily have an advantage, contrary to popular belief. Researchers analyzed hundreds of shootouts and found the outcome depends more on the skills of individual players and psychological factors than on the order of play.
- The study examined penalty shootouts from major football tournaments over the past two decades
- Results showed that teams going first won approximately 50% of shootouts
- Psychological pressure affects both teams regardless of shooting order
- Player confidence and technique are the primary determining factors. While some earlier research suggested a first-mover advantage, this latest analysis provides more comprehensive data from a larger sample of shootouts, offering a clearer picture of what actually influences the outcome.
# Does the team that takes the first penalty have a better chance of winning?
Coverage spectrum
Coverage spectrum2 sources
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100%
Critical
Center
Favorable
Coverage: 2 sources · most coverage from the Center tier · no coverage from the Critical & Favorable tiers
Coverage Details
Total News Sources2
Leaning Oppose0
Center2
Leaning Favor0
Last Updated65d ago
Bias Distribution100% center
Sources are mostly inside Iran (2 of 2)
Source credibility & ownership
2 sources · 1 tiers